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Eurozone GDP likely expanded 0.4% qoq in 4Q15 - Unicredit

Research Team at Unicredit, thinks that Eurozone GDP expanded 0.4% qoq in 4Q15, but risks are tilted to the downside.

Key Quotes

“For 2015 as a whole, the pace of GDP growth was probably 1.5%.

4Q15 was characterized by sluggish industrial activity and some (temporary) slowdown in household spending, so far the main pillar of this recovery phase. Both were negatively impacted by mild weather conditions, via lower energy production and consumption. In contrast, construction investment benefited from mild temperatures.

Sentiment indicators eased in January, but from high levels, still consistent with 1.5-2% annualized GDP expansion.”

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Research Team at Nomura, suggests that combining reserve dynamics with EM FX price action, our Global EM FX Pressure Index (excluding China and OPEC countries) remained relatively stable for the month of January, indicating neutral-to-moderate pressure on local FX (higher index reading indicates lower pressure).
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